The S&P 500 is near all time highs and we are in a bull market, but Advance Auto Parts (AAP) did not get the memo and recent signals point to new lows. First and foremost, the long-term trend is down because the 50-day SMA is below the 200-day SMA and the stock hit a new low in August. AAP bounced from this August low, but hit resistance near broken support and the falling 50-day SMA. Notice that a rising wedge formed and the stock broke the wedge line with a sharp decline the last four days. This break signals a continuation of the long-term downtrend and a move below the August low is expected. The indicator window shows MACD confirming with a bearish signal cross over the last few days.
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--Arthur Hill CMT
Plan your Trade and Trade your Plan
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