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Top Advisors Corner

David Keller: Highlighting Health Care Highs

by David Keller

While many investors have been focused on the “narrow” leadership of the FAANG names, the Health Care sector has quietly become a top performer for 2018.  While the extreme overbought condition suggests a short-term pullback, it also suggests that much further highs are in store. After pulling back to the $79 level in February, the XLV tested that support area two more times through the spring months.  In early June, the Health Care ETF broke to new swing highs before testing moving average support into the 4th of July holiday.   Since that pullback Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tim Ord: The Ord Oracle August 29, 2018

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring purposes; Sold 8/21/1/ at 2862.96= gain 1.05%; Long SPX 8/10/18 at 2833.28. Monitoring purposes GOLD: Long GDX at 18.72 on 8/17/18 Long Term Trend SPX monitor purposes; Sold long term SPX 7/16/18 at 2798.43= gain 2.95%; Long 6/29/18 at 2718.37. Yesterday the “Total Put/Call ratio” (CPC) closed at .74.  Bearish signs are triggered when the CPC hits its lower Bollinger band or closes below .75 (both happen here), the market is usually near a short term high.   The bottom window is the SPY, which hit its upper Bollinger Band and a resistance area Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tom McClellan: Architecture Billings Index Flashes Warning on Economy

by Tom McClellan

The news of a 4.1% rate of GDP growth in Q2 of 2018 got the financial media excited.  4.1% was the rate of change compared to the prior quarter.  When we use a 1-year lookback, it is not quite that strong of a number, but still good news in terms of what it does to getting more people working and paying taxes.  The troubling news this week is that the latest data from the American Institute of Architects, http://www.aia.org, shows that their Architecture Billing Inquiries Index is headed downward, and that tends to be a problem for future GDP numbers.  This week’s Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tim Ord: The Ord Oracle August 22, 2018

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring purposes; Sold 8/21/1/ at 2862.96= gain 1.05%; Long SPX 8/10/18 at 2833.28. Monitoring purposes GOLD: Long GDX at 18.72 on 8/17/18 Long Term Trend SPX monitor purposes; Sold long term SPX 7/16/18 at 2798.43= gain 2.95%; Long 6/29/18 at 2718.37. The momentum for the 30 hourly moving average of the Tick and hourly Cumulative tick are still in up-trends and remain short term bullish for the SPX.  However these tick indicators can turn on a dime but for now they remain short term bullish.  On yesterday’s report we said, “The ticks give reason for the SPX to test its Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Mary Ellen McGonagle: Defensive Plays That Also Have High Growth Prospects August 17, 2018

by Mary Ellen McGonagle

This week we’re seeing money flows back into the more defensive Consumer Staple and Utility sectors which are both up 2.5% vs the S&P 500’s week to date return of 0.25%.  Continued global trade tensions combined with talk of slower economic growth in China has some investors a bit concerned about the prospects for the broader markets.   And with earnings season winding down, the focus on these negative headlines may very well only intensify. For those who are looking for a way to buffer their holdings from a potential increase in volatility, one need to look no further than Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tom McClellan: AAPL's Quarterly Price Pattern

by Tom McClellan

We normally think of seasonality as being an annual phenomenon.  But it can appear in other ways, such as the 4-year Presidential Cycle Pattern, and quarterly, as with this week’s chart of the share price of Apple Corp (Nasdaq:AAPL). The price of AAPL stock got everyone excited on August 1st after the company announced strong earnings.  Prices shot up to a new high, and the company’s market capitalization shot up above $1 trillion.  It is the first U.S. company to reach that threshold, and you know how the media love a big round number.  Seeing Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tom McClellan: How Seasonality Has Changed

by Tom McClellan

We all know about the factor of seasonality, and especially about how it is distilled into the bit of TV news wisdom, “Sell In May and go away”.  That phrase has been around for decades, originally supposedly referring to traders in England who would “Sell in May and go away, and come back on St. Leger’s Day”.  This referred to the custom of aristocrats, merchants, and bankers who would skip town and go to the country during the hot months, returning for the St. Leger’s Stakes, a horse race held in mid-September.  Source: Investopedia.  It just Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tim Ord: The Ord Oracle August 8, 2018

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring purposes; Sold SPX 7/24/18 & 2820.40= gain .57%; Long SPX 7/19/18 & 2804.49. Monitoring purposes GOLD: Neutral. Long Term Trend SPX monitor purposes; Sold long term SPX 7/16/18 at 2798.43= gain 2.95%; Long 6/29/18 at 2718.37. The SPX may be heading to its January high at 2872.87. The top window is the 30 hour average of the tick/trin ratio.  Readings above “0” have been a bullish sign for the SPX and today’s close came in at +68.96. The second window up from the bottom is the hourly cumulative tick which has been going sideways since early July even though Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tim Ord: The Ord Oracle August 1, 2018

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring purposes; Sold SPX 7/24/18 & 2820.40= gain .57%; Long SPX 7/19/18 & 2804.49. Monitoring purposes GOLD: Neutral. Long Term Trend SPX monitor purposes; Sold long term SPX 7/16/18 at 2798.43= gain 2.95%; Long 6/29/18 at 2718.37. FOMC meeting is today and tomorrow and can have an affect on the markets.  Monday’s Total Put/Call ratio came in at 1.12 and at its upper Bollinger band which have marked short term lows in the markets.   The top window is the McClellan Oscillator which has remained below “0” over the last couple of weeks which is a bearish sign Read More 

Top Advisors Corner

Tim Ord: The Ord Oracle: July 25, 2018

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring purposes; Sold SPX 7/24/18 & 2820.40= gain .57%; Long SPX 7/19/18 & 2804.49. Monitoring purposes GOLD: Neutral. Long Term Trend SPX monitor purposes; Sold long term SPX 7/16/18 at 2798.43= gain 2.95%; Long 6/29/18 at 2718.37. Second window up from bottom is the Advance/Decline with a 4 period moving average. Reading above 1.25 has been a bullish sign for the SPX; below bearish.  Today’s reading came in at 1.01 even though the market has rallied the last couple of days; we take this as a bearish sign. Next window up is the Advancing issues with 4 period Read More 

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