A - Xtreme Edge ETF List

Alan Wolman Rank: 73 Followers: 4 Votes: 2 Years Member: 3 Last Update: 8 December 2017, 13:58 Categories: ETFs
Market Timing
Chart Patterns

1st Extreme Registered:(prices may, but usually do not, reverse at the 1st extreme):

Most recent extremes:
12/7/17 - 7x3 uslv 1st extreme (oversold)
12/4/17 - 7x3 udow overbought 1st extreme
11/24/17 - 6x2 soxl overbought

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This list monitors a basket of etf's to identify tradable extremes. The sole objective is to spot situations when the intensity of flow of funds into a group of etf's reach levels that have historically resulted in tradable turning points. We measure for money flow and accumulation/distribution extremes on 3 different etf's per market (for example - DIA, UDOW, and SDOW).

An extreme develops as values for money flow and/or accumulation/distribution cumulate beyond certain thresholds. Each ETF can reach an extreme in either money flow, acc/dist, or both. Since Oct 2015, prices moved lower (or higher) than the 1st day of extreme in 88% of cases (58% within 1st 5 days). This suggests an advantage in scaling into a trade over a few days.

Extremes occur in 2 ways:

1) a running count of 5 individual extremes confirmed by at least 2 etfs. For example, 7x3 would be 7 extremes over 3 days with all 3 etf's at extremes.

2) a count of at least 9 accumulation or distribution days on one etf, with at least one other etf at extremes. This would be indicated at (for example) - 10/2

1st extremes can be but do not always mark the peak; it is normal for peaks to occur after 2 or 3 have occurred. The absolute peak extreme can be 18x3 so seeing numbers in the teens is usually near the end of a move.

Less

1 - EXAMPLE - UGLD - 12/14/16 - daily

1.1 - EXAMPLE - UGLD - 12/14/16 - hourly

1001 UDOW (DIA, UDOW, SDOW) - Current Daily

12/4/17 - 1st extreme - 7x3 (overbought)
10/24/17 - 15 x3 and 11/0 - extremely extended
10/9/17 - now at 10 extremes over 3 days 10x3
10/6/17 - 2nd extreme 6x3
10/5/17 - new 1st extreme at 10/2 (10 accumulation days)
8/7/17 - accumulation reached 10/2
8/3/17 - 6 extremes on 3 etf's

1001.1 - UDOW - Current Hourly

1002 - SPXL - (SPY, SPXL, SPXU) - Current Daily

10/24/17 - 9x3 & 10/1 - extended along with djia
10/11/17 - 1st extreme at 6x2 & 10/1
4/28/17 - accumulation reaches 2/10 (oversold on rally, strange)
3/3/17 - 5 overbought extremes on 3 etf's.
3/1/17 - accumulation reaches 10/2 (overbought)

1002.2 - SPXL - Current Hourly

1003 - TQQQ - (QQQ, TQQQ, SQQQ) - Current Daily

6/2/17 - 6x2
5/16/17 - 6x2
2/14/17 - 5x3

1003.3 - TQQQ - Current Hourly

1004 TNA - (IWM, TNA, TZA) - Current Daily

10/30/17 - 1st oversold at 10/2
10/5/17 - extremes peak at 18x3 & 11/0
9/22/17 - accum days go to 10/1
9/20/17 - 1st extreme at 6x2

1004.4 - TNA - (IWM, TNA, TZA) - Current Hourly

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