The Big Picture -- The Big Churn 1997-2021 (Est. 30 August, Earth Year 002,001)

Peter Robinson Rank: 82 Followers: 6 Votes: 18 Years Member: 16 Last Update: 16 February 2018, 10:31 Categories: General Market Commentary

(2/16 -- 1329 EST) -- Primed for an afternoon sell-off?
(2/15) -- Volume withering.
(2/14) -- MA(50) now resistance?
(0857 EST) -- CPI up inflation market down?

(2/13) ? Lots of weak indicator lines in 60-minute chart.
(2/12) -- MA(100) now resistance?
(2/9 -- 1057 EST) -- Real Options Week bottom forming?
Lots of positive divergences forming IMO.
The week before Options Week has been the 'Real' options week for years IMO.

(2/8) -- MA(100) support to hold?
(1009 EST) -- MA(50) resistance holding?
(2/7) -- MA(50) now resistance?
(2/5) -- Nikkei 225 down 5% -- look out below?
(2/2) -- The dam FINALLY breaks!

(1/29) -- EOM window dressing WAY outside of upper BB(409)!
(1/24) -- Most charts are looking top-ish IMO. Another false alarm?
(1/23) -- NYSE Seismometer suggests recent run up is losing steam IMO. [Bottom p. 2]
(1/16/18) -- Time for a pause at BB(409)?

(12/18/17) -- BB(322) and BB(409) to limit upside for Santa Rally?
(11/28) -- Classic short squeeze into the close IMO.
Or is a Santa Rally building up a head of steam?
(11/13) -- SLOITC series back and under construction. [middle p. 3]
(8/30) -- Up Up and Away to SPX 5000? A post-Harvey infrastructure-building rally could really take off here IMO.
(1/24/17) -- 'Trump Traction' to SPX 5000? [SPX monthly near bottom p. 1]

(12/6/16) -- Santa Rally is back on? Move above SPX 2200 could really take off here IMO.
(2/16) -- BB(409) support has held, and we are going up again?

(2/18/15) -- June 2012 target of SPX 2100 reached. [middle p. 1]
(2/11/13) -- The Big Churn (1997-2021) is about two-thirds over IMO. [p. 1 -- posted 8/30/2001]
(6/11/12) -- 'Seven-year Itch' Triple Top at SPX 2100?


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Less

$ -- A10.87.7 -- SPY 60-minute Aug/Sept 2017

$$ -- A10.87.45 -- SPY - Daily Fall 2017

$$ ? SPY - Weekly Candlesticks, 780

$$$ -- A10.87.45 -- SPY - Daily April 2017

$$$ -- A10.87.45 -- SPY - Daily April 2017

$$$ -- A10.87.45 -- SPY - Daily Aug. 2015

$$$ -- SPY MA(100) 1998-2018

$$$ -- ZZZZZZZ -- $NYHL:$SPX - Daily Cumulative, 1600

$$$$ -- A1.05 -- SPX -- MONTHLY 1980-2002 -- THE BIG PICTURE -- Est. 8 August 002,001

(9/1/17) -- [List under reconstruction.]

(5/20/13) -- See 2001 SCC newsletter after this list was established -- http://stockcharts.com/commentary/archives/cww20010909h.html
(3/5/12) -- This chart was first posted on August 30th, Earth Year 002,001.
(4/22/002,006) -- Warren Buffett on hair triggers:
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
'There are more people [like hedge-fund managers] that go to bed at night with a hair trigger than ever before, it's an electronic herd,
they can give vent to decisions that move billions and billions of dollars with the click of a key.
We will have some exogenous event - we will have that. There will be some kind of stampede by that herd . . .

'When you have far greater sums than ever before, in one asset class after another, that are held by people who operate on a hair-trigger mechanism,
then they lend themselves to more explosive outcomes. People with very short time horizons, with huge sums of money - they can all try to head for the exits at the same time.
The only way you can leave your seat in burning financial markets is to find someone else to take your seat, and that is not always easy ...'
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

http://money.cnn.com/2005/05/01/news/fortune500/buffett_talks/

$$$$ -- SPY - Monthly Candlesticks, 520

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