Exceptional Bear - #1 Bear Market Timing - Turning Point head-fakes, you won't want to miss

Eduardo Mirahyes

Mar 20, 2018 Note the invaluable precision in the TVIX forecast, which has still one more day before reversal

Mar 13, 2018 in today's charts look for the callouts outlined in purple for new insights - check that you still follow me, hacker deletes followers as easily as votes

Mar 10, 2018 HAVE a look at the over 30 STOLEN in just a couple of day...for those who don't know I can only lose as many votes as I garnered 30 days ago less those that I earned today, since i have never received 22 votes in one day losing as many in a single day REPULSIVE and NEGLIGENT Stockcharts security and irresponsible lazy cole..SECURITY https://ebear-my.sharepoint.com/:w:/g/personal/mirahyes_ebear_onmicrosoft_com/EaRsGS6MVxdCtgOqqVn9dUIBotDvR71Qb_mkdplO5cJmUw?e=tbobrs

Mar 4, 2018 Here is the scorecard for todaycopy and paste on your browser https://ebear-my.sharepoint.com/:i:/g/personal/mirahyes_ebear_onmicrosoft_com/Ec-JZbIRxyZIh5jNIV234CoByHQLjfW_kVZrTetAQEbbbg?e=zZQ2BK

Mar 1, 2018 Stockcharts Gross negligence in supporting my being hacked BANNED in 2015

the same year as Timer of the year on Timer Digest 34x the S&P return, and 50% higher than the next competitor

Mar 1, 2018, for Scorecard copy and past the link on browser windowhttps://www.amazon.com/clouddrive/share/gfkoGmcvRgwsHQ9PQTmKcLtiMooZ4N1LrQPWdgxirnA
Feb 26, 2018 - Of all the Timing Systems in these Public Stockcharts, only the Exceptional Bear's Channel of the Dow since 1900, accurately forecasts the whip-saw reversals at the current turning point . Most trend-following timers are now Bearish and WRONG, just when a reversal is well in process, to a marginal, new all-time high in the major indexes. At this Irregular Top, there are multiple, head-fakes which swiftly cross the moving averages and whip-saw back. This persp

$1 S&P 500 Monthly since 1982 - Bullish until 2000, Bearish until valuations drop at least 62%

Led by the S&P, the next move in global equities is a black-hole plunge. Rather than protect long portfolios with Puts, why not liquidate them entirely? The Fed's stimulatory hand is played-out, & the impending Crash will strike with such force that the Silver Bullet from the past will no longer suffice to resuscitate the market. Since the market forecasts the economy more accurately than any economist, this time it's we, who must bite the Silver Bullet. Genuine Bull Markets reflect economic expansion by sub-dividing into 5-waves; Bear Market Rallies, like the Roaring Twenties, and Bernanke's megalomaniac Put are illusory, 3-wave upsides within larger Bear Markets. Only a 5-wave Crash is final. Artificial stimulus is an illicit drug, for which the Fed is the Global Pusher . Rather than more ?hair of the dog?, addicted economies can only heal via cold turkey abstinence. In return for numbing the pain of economic contraction, we have prevented healing the addiction, to dramatically aggravating the economy's ability to heal. By distorting economic incentives to divert capital away from the most worthy ventures, stimulus has exacerbated excess to perpetuate illusory Bubbles. The price of stimulus is a far more austere & enduring Depression, required to wring-out the excess via a rapid, downward GDP spiral to back-out stimulus in its entirety. Once the dollar collapse gains momentum to become universally recognized, the massive exodus out of the Dollar-denominated assets will force interest rates to skyrocket, to balloon the national debt out of control. As documented by Rogoff and Reinhart documented, This Time is NEVER different - eight centuries of financial Folly -a US default of its foreign debt is inevitable. Just as the 1929 withdrawal of US gold reserves from Germany intensified bitter depression, a debased dollar will kill the US ability to borrow on international markets, to topple the American Empire

$1 The Euro priced in Dollars - the B-wave rally will likely exceed the 2008 top of $1.6/Euro.

Like Gold, the Euro is inversely related to US equities. The start of the B-wave, Bear Market Rally in the Euro converges with the same for GOLD....the Euro is backed by far more gold than the US Dollar. QE in the European Union is 2 years old, relatively new compared with US Monetary Easing since 1998 under Greenspan ... in the intermediate term, stimulus appears to do the trick for those with a short time horizon, such as politicians...The Euro is the optimal safe haven for low-risk capital. Yet despite the low risk characteristics, the returns will beat just about any equity position. You don't really believe Ben Bernanke reversed the Bear Market, do you?

$1 USD - Monthly Bear Market since 2001, Completed the B-Wave, Bear Market Rally in 2016 to plunge i

Page 1 has the Big Picture Monthly Charts, pages 2 & 3 show Weekly and Daily magnification candles updated occasionally. When you subscribe, you get the 2-hour or Daily candle charts in 10 asset classes, juxtaposed with their reciprocals. http://www.exceptional-bear.com/How_to_subscribe.html The Dollar has peaked long-term in Wave B. This Bear Market Rally is OVER!, Like All Bear Markets and corrections, it sub-divides into 3 waves, labelled A-B-C in bold blue. The B-wave is ALWAYS a 3-wave Bear Market Rally sandwiched in between two plunges in A & C. Labeled (a)-(b)-(c) in light blue, highlights Wave B's the 3-wave structure to confirm this is a TERMINAL move. As you can see the Market is a fractal. The upside correction to the Dollar is likewise an a-b-c bounce of a minor wave ii. In other words upside corrections are inverse fractals of the larger trend. After the a-wave of an a-b-c dead cat bounce, the b wave could drop a bit lower,....We Swing Trade these masterfully...this is an opportune time to take a trial subscription with a 30-day 100% money back guarantee. With the current market conditions this is a low-risk high return phase for Bears, and time to drop your bullish habits to preserve purchasing power & lifestyle. So if the Dollar has been debased, this time, cash & T-Bonds will be big losers. Instead of holding dollars, why not just buy Euros with your Cash. In 2008, the Euro peaked at $1.60/Euro.... with nowhere else to go, the Euro is again the only logical Dollar Safe Haven. Unlike the US, the Euro manipulation is relatively recent. Initially all stimulus appears to work. Just look at how high the Greenback and the S&P have climbed with stimulus. However, from here on out, unlevered dollar-denominated assets are for losers. Only the right asset classes, augmented by leverage, will overwhelm the dollar?s purchasing power erosion. Now's the time to bail-out of over-valued, dollar-denominated assets to buy the

$1b SILVER - Monthly a nascent Bull Market

the nascent B-wave, Bear Market Rally in Silver will likely exceed the 2011 high , making for a buoyant 3-5 year RALLY in Silver, as equities crater.

$1c Natural Gas - Monthly

The long chart of Natural Gas since 1990 shows the long Bull Market in Natural Gas prefaced by a 9 year bullish, Diag II, (green) the most bullish of all price patterns in a colossal beginning. Cycle Wave III should top at least 61.8% higher than Cycle Wave I, in the area of 22. The third wave stair-steps up in magnitude to arrive at Cycle Degree at the Tip, after Primary wave 4. Currently Cycle wave 2 will likely retrace the area of 1.5-2. The next long upside is wave 3, in the meantime, best remain short via the inverse or short Gas. Note how Cycle Wave II is clearly an A-B-C Bear Market typical of all corrections. Bear Markets are corrections at higher magnitudes, requiring at least a weekly chart to see the entirety on one page. Next a transition from bearish to bullish shown in purple under time in years on the x-axis - this 3-wave structure is an essential characteristic of the Wave Principle discovered by RN Elliott, Robert Prechter naively discarded it at the beginning of his career and incorrigibly refused to recant in arrogance. Elliott called this the A-B Base prior to a Bull run, however it occurs when reversing bullish to bearish, proportional to the degree of magnitude.

$1ca WTIC - Crude Oil Monthly Primary

The Big Picture Monthly Crude Oil since 1997. is beginning Cycle Wave III Bull Market. Primary wave 2 could trough in an irregular bottom in the area of 22. The Crude Bull Market Topped Cycle Wave I in 2008, as stocks and the Dollar went into free-fall. Still inversely related to equities, Wave III should break through the roof, as equities go into free-fall. This time, we can expect a similarly lagging Rally in crude oil. Before OIL can take off, it must first stop-out many Buy & Hold fools. The likely low is in the range of $27. Once the dumb money gets stopped out, there are no sellers on the way up, fueling a Spike... For now, we hold INVERSE, or short Crude Oil, as the better option, going our way.

$1e EEM - Monthly

$1f RUT - Small Cap Monthly

$2 GOLD - Weekly - Junior Miners vs Majors represented by Spot Gold price

Since Gold in operating at Cycle Degree, 1/4 the magnitude of the S&P at Supercyle degree, it is best viewed in weekly increments. This chart compares Spot Gold to the Jr Miners, by the ETF JNUG. Like small-cap stocks, for Junior Miners hikes Gold price drop to the bottom line, they become highly profitable with a marginal price increase. The Major Gold producer's profits track Spot Gold, where price increases are eroded by higher overhead, however when the situation reverses at the end of the cycle, the Major Gold producers remain profitable even as the price of gold drops below the cost of extraction for the Juniors. The majors simply moth-ball the high cost mines, until the spot prices exceeds their unit costs. At the beginning of a Major Rally, Jr. Gold's price augment rapidly, only to fall off a cliff when they drop below a higher cost of extraction...same as small cap stocks which tend have difficulty obtaining enough capital... Small Cap Silver and Gold are beginning buoyant period similar to small cap equities beginning in 1982.... all this in spite of the death of equities proclaimed by Barron's on the cover in 1982

$2a Gold's inverse relationship to Equities

Gold and Equities have a long-standing inverse relationship. When stocks CRASH, Gold and Silver will skyrocket in a Bear Market Rally far more vigorous than any Market driven by Greed - this one fueled by Safe Haven shelter. On the left y-axis you see the price of Spot Gold, since the start of the long Bull Market, Supercycle Wave (III) ended in 2000. The Fed has forestalled the inevitable, only to magnify the vanishing of Trillions in a flash, to withdraw Bull Market excess, multiplied by Fed manipulation. As always, the higher markets climb, the harder they must fall by Newton's law. The longer they accelerate, the more time they have to destroy capital in a Flash Crash.

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