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You Really CAN Make Money in a Rough Market Environment

by John Hopkins

The quarter beginning 10-1-18 has been challenging for a lot of traders. The NASDAQ has lost almost 10% while the S&P has lost 6%, both well off the quarter's low. Volatility has reigned with the VIX at elevated levels for most of the quarter. It has been challenging for us at EarningsBeats as well, though you might not know it from our results even though, of the 29 trade alerts we issued  Read More

DP Weekly Wrap: Does SPY Have Bullish Reverse H&S? Gold Sentiment Is Looking Contrarian

by Carl Swenlin

A lot of people are seeing a reverse head and shoulders pattern developing, and it is really not hard to spot. From Friday's close, it will take a rally of a little less than 3% for price to reach the neckline. Add another 4.5% and new, all-time highs will be made. Some indicators favoring a positive resolution are: (1) contracting volume across the head and right shoulder; (2) the OBV reverse  Read More

NEW! Introducing "Chart View" For Market And Industry Summary Pages

by Grayson Roze

The more charts, the better. That's my motto, especially this week. I'm happy to announce that our Market Summary and Industry Summary pages have recently received a major upgrade – "Chart View" is here!  We've expanded the functionality of these two important pages, making them even more useful resources to help you track and analyze the current markets. Market  Read More

Money Managers Report Lowest Exposure Since Early 2016

by Erin Swenlin

One of the sentiment indicators that I update MarketWatchers LIVE viewers on each Friday is the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) exposure reading. A few things you should know about these guys. NAAIM's membership ranges from small regional firms to large national firms, including hedge fund managers, mutual fund companies and a variety of other firms that provide  Read More

11/16 MWL Recap: "What's Hot, What's Not" with Mary Ellen McGonagle - DP Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

Experimenting with breadth on Relative Rotation Graphs

by Julius de Kempenaer

Various breadth indicators are used to analyze the underlying strength or weakness of a broad market index like the S&P 500 index or NYSE. Over the years a number of different breadth indicators have been developed and/or used in their work by well known technical analysts. A few names that spring to mind here in the Stockcharts community are   Read More

ETF Guru Retires: Leaves Us with Six Key Lessons

by Gatis Roze

This is a salute to Ben Johnson, the departing editor of Morningstar's ETF Investor publication. Over the years, I've come to look forward to his pithy observations about the ETF marketplace. To use his own words in describing his replacement, Alex Bryan, he wrote "He's bright, articulate and capable of distilling concepts that are lofty and sometimes near unintelligible into insights that are  Read More

This Is Not Just Icing On The Cake

by Greg Schnell

Through this wide ranging volatile period, it has been harder to find great trades. When the market pulls back, the skittishness of the investing community soars. I have had two different stocks in nice set ups plunge with 20% drops in a day. The earnings reports are literally implosion documents if they miss the consensus view. Apple is a case in point. Small position size helps. At the  Read More

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook (with video) - Digesting the Breakdowns

by Arthur Hill

Performance Overview. Ranging after Breakdown. Other Bearish Developments. Volatility Heats Up. Momentum versus Low Volatility. Staples and Utes Hold Up. Healthcare and REITs Outperform. Big Bounces within even Bigger Downtrends. Notes from the Art's Charts ChartList.   Ranging after Breakdown The S&P 500 was thrown off trend with a sharp decline in October.  Read More

History Supports Bullish Move But Earnings Last Night Could Dampen Bulls' Victory Thursday

by Tom Bowley

Reminder I post a blog article every morning that the stock market is open in a format similar to today's article.  If you haven't already subscribed (for FREE) and would like to, simply scroll to the bottom of this article and type your email address into the space provided and click on the green "Subscribe" button.  From this point forward, my blog article will be sent to the email  Read More

11/15 MWL Recap: Julius de Kempenaer "Experimenting with Breadth on RRG" - Are You Buying This?

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

Gold Finally Had A Day In The Sun $GDX $GLD

by Greg Schnell

Gold finally had a day in the sun. It feels almost remarkable. Much like when rainy days envelope a city for weeks, and then, the first day of sunshine feels so much better.  I love to trade around gold on the long side, which has been infrequent lately! But the charts say to wake up and smell the golden coffee, as it could be time to wake up in your portfolio. Yeah, really, I know, that  Read More

30% Gain From Here Over Next Year Possible? This Chart Says YES

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, November 14, 2018 In a rare twist, communication services (XLC, +0.49%) was the only sector to gain ground yesterday.  The group has underperformed the S&P 500 badly since its July relative high with Facebook's (FB) quarterly earnings report on July 25th after the close the primary culprit.  But, at least temporarily, the sector received a boost - an  Read More

Small cap stocks are leading the market lower.

by Julius de Kempenaer

There are many indexes available to monitor and analyze the stock market. The S&P500, together with Daddy "Dow" being among the more popular ones. But the S&P 500, although covering 500 stocks, is only looking at one segment of the total market. Only large-cap stocks. A broader perspective can be gained from looking at the S&P 1500 composite index for example. Still not  Read More

Double the Gain of the Morningstar Bucket Portfolio - part 4

by Brian Livingston

Lazy Portfolios such as Morningstar's generally ignore asset classes other than stocks, bonds, and REITs. Alternative assets, when combined with a Momentum Rule, give you diversification benefits that produce massive improvements in gains.   This is Part 4. Parts 1, 2, and 3 appeared on Nov. 6, 8, and  Read More

11/14 MWL Recap: Guest Bruce Fraser "Searching for the Next Leadership Stocks" - Agree or Disagree

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

DP Alert: Two More ST SELL Signals - Monthly PMO SELL Signals Likely

by Erin Swenlin

Before I get into the nitty gritty here, I want to relate a story of what literally (yes, literally) just happened to me about 10 minutes ago. I got a text from my 10-year old nephew, "Is there anyway I can check what is happening to the Nestle stock in the future?" Mind you, this has never happened, even remotely. Let's just say that my Dad and I are the only family members who talk about  Read More

Trade Setup - Tandem (TNDM) In Real Time

by Tom Bowley

From a trading perspective, I wanted to give you a quick idea of what I look for in a trade.  I bought Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) when it crossed back above 31.21 and I'll hold it unless it closes beneath 31.00 or moves intraday beneath 30.00.  Here's a quick chart: I like trading false breakdowns on stocks that recently reported quarterly results above Wall Street's expectations  Read More

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STOCKS CONTINUE THEIR NOVEMBER SLIDE -- THE S&P 500 MAY RETEST ITS LATE OCTOBER LOW

by John Murphy

SHORT-TERM STOCK TREND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN Today's higher open is giving way to more afternoon selling. We've seen that same pattern over the past week as stock prices have started to slide again. The daily bars in Chart 1 show the S&P 500 Index falling back below its (red) 200-day moving average on Monday. Today's selling is pushing the SPX down toward a small  Read More

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Has Oil Hit A Temporary Bottom?

by Martin Pring

Commodities in General Remain in a Bear Market Oil is Also in a Primary Bear Market The Chart That Says That Some Kind of Bottom is at Hand I last wrote about oil back in early August, in an article entitled More Evidence Of A Commodity Bear Market. Back then, I pointed out some  Read More

These Two Stocks Present Short-Term Opportunities

by Milan Vaishnav

Potential Trend Reversal in SCHAND.IN S Chand And Company Limited (SCHAND.IN) is one of the leading publishing houses in India. In May 2017, the stock listed at 673. Over the following 17 months, the stock saw its value erode by ~73% as the stock remained in a secular decline. In October 2018, the stock arrested its prolonged decline as it attempted to form a base around the 180-185 levels. The  Read More

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Key Levels for SPY and QQQ

by Arthur Hill

SPY Draws a Line in the Sand. QQQ Lags SPY on Rebound. Scanning for 5-day ROC. Auto Parts Stocks Stand Out. On Trend on Youtube. SPY Draws a Line in the Sand The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gapped up the day after the election and did not hold these gaps. These gaps held for two days and the ETFs closed below the gap zone with sharp declines on  Read More

Gold Downtrend Resuming As Is S&P 500's

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, November 13, 2018 Losses weren't big on Tuesday as the Dow Jones dropped just 0.40% and was the worst performing of our major indices.  But it seemed to be more of a continuation of the recent downtrend as all key areas of the market finished at or close to their lows of the day.  For instance, the NASDAQ earlier in the session was up 118 points, or more than  Read More

Thoughts on Technical Indicators

by Greg Morris

There is a myriad of technical indicators available to traders, and regardless of which indicators are used, blending them with other tools and good charting skills can produce a more in-depth picture of the price action.  For example, a stock may be approaching a support level defined by a trend line or previous price level (horizontal trend line).  The indicators signal a loss of  Read More

The First Death Crosses Appear

by Arthur Hill

A classic death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average moves below the 200-day moving average. On the flip side, a golden cross occurs when the 50-day SMA moves above the 200-day SMA. The 50-day SMAs have been above the 200-day SMAs for all major stock indexes this entire year - until this week. These indexes include the S&P 500, Dow Industrials, S&P Small-Cap 600, S&P Mid-Cap  Read More

11/13 MWL Recap: "Current State of Industry Groups" with Tom - Technical Scanning

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

DP Bulletin #2: SPX Adds Short-Term Trend Model SELL Signal

by Erin Swenlin

The OEX added a ST Trend Model SELL signal yesterday, and today the SPX will join with its own ST Trend Model SELL signal. These signals are generated on 5/20-EMA crossovers. When it is a positive crossover, it is a BUY signal. When it is a negative crossover, the signal can be either a SELL or Neutral. To determine which bearish signal to use, note the placement of the crossover. If it  Read More

Natural Gas Lights Up

by Bruce Fraser

U. S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) made an important 'Spring' low at the end of 2017. A Change-of-Character (CHoCH) emerged in the trading behavior of UNG in the new year. On the weekly chart UNG had been in a one year downtrend that concluded with a Spring and a Test. Much of the trading in UNG after the Test was lackluster and hovered around the Support line. But each succeeding low was higher and  Read More

Oil Hits The Big Number

by Greg Schnell

Oil has fallen the last few days and really taken a significant move lower. After at least two weeks of falling, oil was down 6.3% at the close today. After topping October 3rd intraday, and falling for more than a month in almost a straight cascade, today saw massive volume to punctuate a bad day. It seems very hard to bet against the huge down pressure, but this might be the time to  Read More

Double the Gain of the Morningstar Bucket Portfolio - part 3

by Brian Livingston

Adding one simple change raises the Bucket Portfolio's annualized rate of return by an enormous 3½ percentage points. Over a 45-year investing career, that would result in an ending value more than four times larger than the static, unchanging Lazy Portfolio version. The only difference is a Momentum Rule, which can be applied to other portfolios even more effectively than the Bucket model  Read More

When Emotions Take Over

by David Keller

I recently returned from a 10-day trip to Kuala Lumpur and Singapore. This was my first time in Malaysia, where I spoke at the IFTA Annual Conference along with my fellow StockCharts commentators Julius de Kempenaer and Martin Pring. After the conference, when I was checking out of the hotel in Kuala Lumpur, I was already thinking about the  Read More

Semiconductors Are In A Bear Market, Follow This Trading Range

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, November 12, 2018 Welcome back bears.  Welcome back volatility.  It was another day of steep losses on Wall Street, underscoring the likely end to what the bulls were hoping was a sustainable rally back to recent highs.  There was a major test last week for the bears as the Volatility Index ($VIX) had crept to within 16 (intraday low was 16.09).  For  Read More

Stock-in-Focus: Despite Some Consolidation, This Banking Stock is Likely to Make Decisive Moves

by Milan Vaishnav

Over the last four to five weeks, the NIFTY Bank Index ($BANKNIFTY) has not only out-performed the Public Sector Bank Index among the banking space, but it has also seen sharp improvement in relative momentum against the Broader Market Index $CNX500. Many of the Nifty Bank Index components are interestingly poised. A particularly attention-grabbing one is Axis Bank (AXISBANK.IN), which is  Read More

Using RRG to find some good and some not so good names inside the DJ Industrials index.

by Julius de Kempenaer

The relative rotation graph above shows the rotation of the 30 DJ Industrials stocks. Watching the interaction on the canvas, a few rotations catch the eye. Inside the lagging quadrant IBM, HD, and DWDP are clearly moving deeper into negative territory. On the opposite side inside the leading quadrant, we find MCD, WBA, PG, and WMT at strong RG headings moving higher on both  Read More

DP Bulletin: OEX First to Log Short-Term SELL Signal

by Erin Swenlin

The whipsaw Short-Term Trend Model BUY signal generating on the OEX Friday below its 50-EMA was the culprit for today's ST Trend Model SELL signal. Remember that ST Trend Model signals are generated by 5/20-EMA crossovers in relation to the 50-EMA. A positive crossover is always a BUY signal. However, if a negative 5/20-EMA crossover occurs, there are two signals that can be generated  Read More

11/12 MWL Recap: Monday Setups - Earnings Spotlight - DecisionPoint Report

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

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TECH STOCKS CONTINUE TO LEAD MARKET LOWER -- TECHNOLOGY SPDR SLIPS FURTHER BELOW ITS 200-DAY AVERAGE

by John Murphy

TECHNOLOGY SPDR FALLS FURTHER BELOW ITS 200-DAY AVERAGE Technology stocks continue to lead the stock market lower today. The Technology Sector SPDR (XLK) fell back below its 200-day average on Friday, and is falling further below it today (Chart 1). To get an idea of how much the techs have fallen out of favor, the XLK/SPX relative strength ratio  Read More

Are Copper Prices Signaling S&P 500 Bear Market Like In Prior Years?

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, November 9, 2018 There was a return of strength in defensive sectors on Friday as consumer staples (XLP, +0.58%), utilities (XLU, +0.15%) and real estate (XLRE, +0.12%) were the only sectors to finish the session in positive territory.  There was also significant relative weakness in the more aggressive NASDAQ and Russell 2000, which retreated 1.65% and 1.82%  Read More

Goldman Continues to Struggle

by Arthur Hill

Goldman Sachs is the premier investment bank and a key component of the Financials SPDR (XLF), as well as the Broker-Dealer iShares (IAI). The stock has struggled since March and lagged the market for over six months now. While the S&P 500 moved to a new high in September, Goldman remained below its 40-week moving average and did not come close to its March high. As with this image of their  Read More

Crude Oil Falls Into The $50's 2018-11-09

by Greg Schnell

In a positive week for the markets, the unease has not lifted in my mind. First of all, a little perspective on what was leading. On Friday, the sector performance was skewed to safety. The defensive sectors align on the right hand side of this performance chart. Over the past week, the defensives were up the most, and the growth charts were not up as much. While almost every sector  Read More